Projection Systems
Player Projections
Forward-looking player outputs using current scoring rate, True North production indicators, team context, and projected full-season pace.
Top Projection
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Model Version
v1
Rate-based projection
Methodology
Production pace model
Current points-per-game scaled to full-season pace, supported by True North rate output.
Projection Methodology
True North Projection v1 is a pace-based model built from current player production, points-per-game rate, and True North Production Rate. This version is intentionally transparent and designed as a baseline projection layer. Future iterations will incorporate multi-season history, age curves, usage, position context, contract value, team environment, and regression indicators.