Model Architecture
True North Models
Transparent model documentation for True North production rate, projection outputs, team aggregation, and future evaluation layers.
Current Model
v1
Production + projection layer
Primary Inputs
5
Goals, assists, points, rates, pace
Output Types
4
Rate, projection, rank, profile
Design Principle
Transparent
Readable before complex
True North Production Rate
Rate-based offensive contribution indicator.
True North Production Rate is designed as a transparent first-layer evaluation metric. It combines player goal production and point-production pace into a single offensive indicator. The purpose is not to replace full player valuation, but to create a clean, readable model layer that supports ranking, comparison, and projection workflows.
Current formula
Goals/Game × 1.5 + Points/Game × 1.0
Projection Model v1
Full-season pace projection from current rate output.
True North Projection v1 scales current points-per-game production to a full-season pace. This makes the output intentionally interpretable and auditable. Future versions can layer in aging curves, usage, deployment, multi-season history, and regression indicators while preserving clear model communication.
Current formula
Points/Game × 82
Model Roadmap
v1
Production rate, player search, projections, leaderboards
v2
Age curves, role adjustment, multi-season regression
v3
Contract value, surplus production, roster-fit scoring
v4
Team environment, player comps, acquisition flags
Operational Use Case
True North models are built to support decision workflows rather than simply display statistics. The current model layer supports quick player search, player comparison, leaderboard generation, team aggregation, projection review, and profile-page reporting. The guiding standard is front-office readability: every model output should help answer what a decision-maker can do with the data.